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Forecast for the Bahamas and the Turks & Caicos Islands from 30th April to 05th May 2019

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#Nassau, April 30, 2019 – Bahamas S

General Situation:  A surface trough along with a mid to upper level trough across the Central Bahamas continues to trigger unsettled weather across the entire Bahamas with some severe weather occurring at times through Thursday. The mid to upper level trough will shift across the NW Bahamas and weaken on Thursday as it completely dissipates by Friday. Meanwhile building high pressure ridge north of the Bahamas will produce moderate to strong breezes over the area through Thursday, then it will weaken and shift eastwards through Sunday.M

Tuesday 30th – Partly sunny, windy and warm with few lingering showers or possible isolated thunderstorm NW Bahamas during the daytime, turning mainly fair and warm at night time. Variable cloudiness and windy with scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms across the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands through nightfall. Maximum temperature 83°F and a minimum temperature 73°F.  Small craft advisory continues across the entire Bahamas. Winds E’ly at 15 to 25 knots overall areas. Seas 5 to 8 feet overall areas but higher in moderate N’ly to NE’ly swells across the Bahamas.

Wednesday 01st – Partly cloudy, breezy to windy and warm with the chance of isolated showers in the NW Bahamas during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to fair and warm at night with the slight chance of a shower. In the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands cloudy to occasionally overcast and windy with scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms, some becoming heavy to severe at times during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 83°F and a minimum temperature 74°F.  Small craft advisory across the entire Bahamas becomes a caution across the Central and SE Bahamas
and the Turks and Caicos Islands later.  Winds E to SE at 15 to 25 knots across the entire Bahamas early but decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas later and dropping to 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands later. Seas 5 to 8 feet across the entire Bahamas early, falling to 4 to 7 feet later in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands later and 3 to 5 feet in the NW Bahamas. Light to moderate NE’ly to E’ly swells overall areas.

Thursday 02nd – Variable cloudiness, warm and humid with some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 86°F and a minimum temperature 74°F.  Small craft advisory across the NW and SE Bahamas early becomes a caution across the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands later.  Winds E to SE at 15 to 25 knots in the NW and SE Bahamas early but decreasing to 12 to 18 knots in the NW Bahamas as winds become 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands later. Seas 5 to 8 feet over NW and SE Bahamas, falling to 3 to 5 feet in the NW Bahamas later and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands with light to moderate E’ly swells across the Bahamas.

Friday 03rd – Variable cloudiness, very warm and humid with scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas, generally clearing across the Central and SE Bahamas
and the Turks and Caicos Islands through nightfall. Maximum temperature 88°F and a minimum temperature 75°F.  Small craft should exercise caution in the Central and SE Bahamas.  Winds SE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the NW Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands but higher in moderate NE’ly to E’ly swell across the Bahamas.

Saturday 04th – Mostly cloudy to overcast, very warm and humid with lingering showers or possible isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW Bahamas during the daytime. Turning fair and warm at night. Maximum temperature 88°F and a minimum temperature 75°F.  Small craft should exercise caution across the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands but decreasing across the Central Bahamas by afternoon.  Winds SE to S at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, falling to 10 to 15 knots in the Central Bahamas later. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands becoming 2 to 4 feet in the Central Bahamas later. Lingering E’ly to SE’ly swells across the entire Bahamas.

Sunday 05th – Partly sunny, very warm and humid with the chance of few isolated showers in the NW and Central Bahamas during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to fair and warm at night time. Partly cloudy to cloudy and very warm with the chance of passing showers during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 89°F and a minimum temperature 75°F.  Small craft should exercise caution in the SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands early. Winds ESE to SSE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots in the SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the NW and Central Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands , falling to 2 to 4 feet later.

Dissipating E’ly to SE’ly swells expected overall areas.

Beachgoers and mariners should be vigilant due to rough surf and the high risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along the north and east coast beaches during stated advisories. Mariners should exercise extreme caution for ocean swells and possible severe weather activity over parts of the Bahamas as stated.

Geoffrey Greene

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Caribbean News

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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June 27, 2022 – The government of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Trinidad, Tobago, and Grenada and its dependencies.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

  • Trinidad and Tobago

  • Grenada and its dependencies

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.  Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, the northern coast of Venezuela, and the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 8.6 North, longitude 50.9 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.  On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward Island by late Tuesday, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Conditions appear conducive for development, and the disturbance will likely become a tropical storm before reaching the southern Windward Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) north of the center.  The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela starting Tuesday night into Wednesday.  The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:

Islands from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 3 inches.

St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 3 to 4 inches.

Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and northeastern Venezuela: 4 to 6 inches.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area by late Tuesday.

Under Watch at the National Hurricane Center

  1. Central Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave located about 700 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so before the system reaches the Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday.

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system and has found winds to tropical storm force.  Interests in the Windward Islands and along the northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of these areas later today.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday night and Wednesday.*

Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.*

Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

  1. Northern Gulf of Mexico:Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Gulf of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure.  Development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent. 

  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions could become conducive for gradual development later this week while the system moves west- northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

 

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Caribbean News

Three dead in Cuba as unnamed storm drowns residents and homes; leaves Bahamas & Bermuda drenched

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By Deandrea Hamilton & Shanieka Smith

Editorial Staff

 

#Cuba, June 6, 2022 – Caribbean countries should now be alert because weather warnings are being issued. The hurricane season officially began Tuesday (June 1) and according to a report by AccuWeather, “meteorologists say there is already some risk that the burgeoning tropical rainstorm, which would be named Alex…”

On Friday, islands in the northern Bahamas were put under Tropical Storm Warning; the air and seaports were closed. These were discontinued by noon on Sunday.  Localised flooding was the worst of it for the islands of Grand Bahama and Abaco still trying to recover from 2019’s Hurricane Dorian; there was an audible sigh of relief.

 It was a far more harrowing story for Cuba, which had a deadly encounter.

“Strong, heavy rain and electrical storms have been affecting the western and central regions of Cuba with accumulations greater than 200 millimeters (eight inches), which will continue for the rest of today and tomorrow, Saturday,” the Cuban Weather Office forecast.

Agatha crashed into southern Mexico and the Atlantic with potential to redevelop as a tropical storm, the Miami-based US National Hurricane Center said.

“The death of two people in the province of Havana and a missing person in Pinar del Río are regretted,” said the Cuban News Agency.

By Monday, that death toll was increased to three and hundreds of homes damaged by fast moving water and flooding.

Bermuda met up with Tropical Storm Alex once named, and as it excited The Bahamas.  The storm on Sunday night and into Monday, with winds at 60 mph, slapped the tiny British overseas territory with huge sea swells.

Tropical Storm Alex rushed past, moving 29mph in an ENE direction and north of Bermuda; thankfully a relatively uneventful encounter.

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Bahamas News

OFFICIAL ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS 2022 HURRICANE SHELTER LISTING

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#TheBahamas, May 26, 2022 – The National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) has released its Official List of Shelters for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season which commences June 1 and ends November 30, 2022.

Weather forecasters at The Bahamas Department of Meteorology are predicting another above-average season with 19 named storms, including  9 hurricanes, four of which are expected to become major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher with maximum sustained winds of 111mph or higher) on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.

There are two main drivers for this Season’s forecast: An El Nino weather event is not expected in the Pacific during the 2022 Hurricane Season, and water temperatures in the Atlantic are hotter than normal. When an El Nino forms in the Pacific, it produces strong wind-shear in the upper levels of the atmosphere across the Atlantic Ocean which limits the formation of hurricanes. Warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic, on the other hand, fuels the formation of hurricanes. With the absence of an El Nino, the 2022 Season is expected to be active.

The names of the 2022 Atlantic storm are as follows: Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona, Gaston, Hermine, Ian, Julia, Karl, Lisa, Martin, Nicole, Owen, Paula, Richard, Shary, Tobias, Virginie, and Walter.

The National Emergency Management Agency urges all Bahamians and residents, who have not already done so, to finalize their individual, family and business plans ahead of the start of the Season. Those plans should include an Emergency Supplies/Preparedness Kit that should include a small First Aid Kit and needed medications, non-perishable food items, battery powered radios, flashlights, extra batteries, hygiene products, masks, whistles (for alerting others if necessary), copies of important documents such as insurance papers and identification (sealed), a list of emergency numbers, cash in small bills, rope, tools, and clothing.

 

MINISTRY OF SOCIAL SERVICES AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT  DEPARTMENT OF SOCIAL SERVICES ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS 2022 OFFICIAL HURRICANE SHELTERS

(UPDATED AS AT 13 MAY, 2022)

 

ABACO, CENTRAL DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Central Abaco Primary School Dundas Town
2. Friendship Tabernacle Dundas Town
3. Guana Cay Primary School Guana Cay
4. Man-O-War Primary School Man-O-War Cay
5. Hope Town Primary School Hope Town

ABACO, NORTH DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Amy Roberts Primary Pre-School Green Turtle Cay
2. Faithwalk Church of God, Community Centre Cooper’s Town
3. Grand Cay All Age School Pre-school Block Grand Cay

 ABACO, SOUTH DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Crossing Rocks Primary School Crossing Rocks
2. Moore’s Island School Moore’s Island
3. Sandy Point Community Centre Earnest Dean Highway
4. Soul Seeking Ministry Moore’s Island

 ACKLINS

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Acklins Community Centre Spring Point

 ANDROS, CENTRAL DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Bowen Sound Pentecostal Church Bowen Sound
2. Church of God Cargill Creek
3. Highway Church of God Blanket Sound
4. Miracle Revival International Calabash Bay
5. Mt. Ethel Baptist Love Hill
6. Mt. Siani Baptist Church Calabash Bay
7. St. Bartholomew’s Anglican Church Behring Point
8. Stafford Creek Primary School Stafford Creek

 ANDROS, MANGROVE CAY DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Burnt Rock Primary Burnt Rock
2. Mangrove Cay High School Swains, Mangrove Cay
3. St. Peters Baptist Church Little Harbour, Mangrove Cay

 ANDROS, NORTH DISTRICT

NO.                               NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. B. A. Newton Primary School Red Bays
2. BARTAD Building BARC Community
3. Clara Evans Primary School Nicholls Town
4. Ebenezer Baptist Church South Mastic Point
5. First Baptist Church San Andros

 ANDROS, SOUTH DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Deep Creek Primary School Deep Creek
2. Friendship Baptist Church The Bluff
3. Long Bays Cay Preschool Long Bay
4. Mount Olive Baptist Church Smith’s Hill
5. St. Paul’s Baptist Church Black Point
6. The Doctor’s Residence (Special Needs Clinic) The Bluff

 BERRY ISLANDS, GREAT HARBOUR CAY

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Church of God of Prophecy Great Harbour Cay
2. Community Centre Bullocks Harbour

 BIMINI

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Gateway Gymnasium Bailey Town
2. Louise McDonald High School Alice Town
3. Urban Renewal (Special Needs Shelter) Alice Town

 CAT ISLAND

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Lovely Zion Baptist Church The Bluff
2. Mt. Sinai Baptist Church Douds
3. Seaview Seventh Day Adventist Church Wilson Bay
4. St. Andrew’s Anglican Church Arthur’s Town
5. St. Mark’s Anglican Church Port Howe
6. Zion Baptist Church McQueen’s

 CROOKED ISLAND & LONG CAY

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
             1. All Saints Anglican Church, Priest Residence

(Colonel Hill and Church Grove Residents)

 

Church Grove, Crooked Island

             2. Church of God of Prophecy

(Landrail Point, Richmond, Moss Town and Cripple Hill Residents)

 

Cripple Hill, Crooked Island

             3. Command Centre

Administrator’s Residence/Local Government Building

 

Colonel Hill, Crooked Island

             4. Kenneth Farquharson’s Residence

(Long Cay Residents)

 

Albert Town, Long Cay

 ELEUTHERA, CENTRAL DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Camp Symonette James Cistern, Gregory Town
2. Church of The Nazarene Palmetto Point
3. Emily G. Petty Primary School Governor’s Harbour
4. George E. Johnson Hatchet Bay
5. The Salvation Army Palmetto Point
6. Wesley Methodist Church Hall Palmetto Point

 ELEUTHERA, NORTH DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Charles Wesley Methodist Church Lower Bogue
2. Mission Church of God Upper Bogue
3. New Jerusalem Church Blackwood
4. The Current Community Centre The Current
5. The Haitian Baptist People Church The Bluff
6. Zion Methodist Church Current Island

 ELEUTHERA, SOUTH DISTRICT

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Church of God of Prophecy Tarpum Bay
2. Deep Creek Primary School Deep Creek
3. Green Castle Primary School Green Castle
4. Rock Sound Primary School Rock Sound
5. Wemyss Bight Primary School Wemyss Bight

 EXUMA

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
                    1. Bethel Union Baptist Church Ramsey
                    2. Calvary Mission Baptist Church Rolleville
                    3. Ebenezer Union Baptist Church Farmer’s Hill
                    4. Ebenezer Union Baptist Church Barraterre
                    5. Exuma Resource Centre Hoopers’ Bay
                    6. Gethsemane Baptist Church Black Point
                    7. Mt. Herman Union Baptist Church Mt. Thompson
                    8. Mt. Sinai Union Baptist Church Stuart Manor
                    9. Palestine Union Baptist Church The Forest
                10. St. Andrew’s Community Centre George Town
                11. St. Luke’s Baptist Church and/or Airport Terminal Black Point
                12. St. Margaret’s Anglican Church Harts/Steventon
                13. St. Mary’s Magdalene  Anglican Church Williams Town
                14. St. Matthew’s Union Baptist Church The Ferry
                15. St. Theresa’s Catholic Church George Town

 GRAND BAHAMA

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
                    1. Bethany Baptist Church Hanna Hill, Eight Mile Rock
                    2. Bethel Baptist Church Pinedale
                    3. Bethel Deliverance Centre Jones Town, Eight Mile Rock
                    4. Bishop Michael Eldon School/Auditorium East Beachway Drive, Freeport
                    5. Calvary Temple Small Chapel Clive Avenue, Freeport
                    6. Central Zion Baptist Church Eight Mile Rock
                    7. Church of God of Prophecy Pinedale
                    8. Church of the Ascension Arden Forest Road, Freeport
                    9. Community Holiness Church Martin Town
                10. Eight Mile Rock Gymnasium Eight Mile Rock
                11. Eight Mile Rock High School Eight Mile Rock
                12. First Baptist Church Columbus Drive, Freeport
                13. Foster B. Pestina Hall (Christ the King) (Special Needs Shelter) East Atlantic Drive, Freeport
                14. Maurice Moore Primary School Sandcombe Drive, Arden Forest, Freeport
                15. Mount Calvary Baptist Educational Building Seagrape
                16. New Olivet Baptist Church Holmes Rock
                17. St. George’s Gymnasium Sunset Highway, Freeport
                18. Shiloh Seventh Day Adventist Church Sandcombe Drive, Freeport

 HARBOUR ISLAND

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. Harbour Island Public Library Harbour Island
2. Lighthouse Church of God Harbour Island
3. New Alliance Church of God Harbour Island

 

 INAGUA

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. New Life Seventh-Day Adventist Church Matthew Town
2. St. Phillips Anglican Community Centre Matthew Town
3. Zion Baptist Church Matthew Town

 LONG ISLAND

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
       1. Assemblies of God Salt Pond
       2. Community Centre Clarence Town
       3. Highway Church of God Doctors Creek
       4. Holy Cross Anglican Church Hamiltons
       5. Holy Family Anglican Church Mortimers
       6. Salem Baptist Church Millers
       7. St. John’s Anglican Church Buckleys
       8. Seymour’s Gospel Chapel Seymour’s

 MAYAGUANA

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
1. St. James Native Baptist Church Abraham’s Bay
2. Betsy Bay Community Centre Betsy Bay
3. Mayaguana Comprehensive K- School Pirate’s Well

 NEW PROVIDENCE

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
       1. Agape Full Gospel Baptist Church Kennedy Subdivision
       2. Berea Seventh-Day Adventist Church Baillou Hill Road South
       3. Canon Neil E. Roach Hall, Holy Cross Anglican Church Highbury Park
       4. Church of God Convention Centre (for use by SRC) Joe Farrington Road
       5. Ebenezer Mission Baptist Evangelistic Church St. Charles Vincent Street
       6. Epworth Hall, Ebenezer Methodist Church

(for use by Homeless and People with Physical Disabilities)

 

Shirley Street

       7. Grants Town Seventh-Day Adventist Church Wellington Street
       8. Hillview Seventh-Day Adventist Church Tonique Williams Darling Highway
       9. Maranatha Seventh-Day Adventist Church Prince Charles Drive
   10. New Bethlehem Baptist Church Independence Drive
   11. New Dimensions Ministries Joe Farrington Road
   12. New Providence Community Centre Blake Road
   13. Pilgrim Baptist Temple St. James Road
   14. St. Barnabas Anglican Church Wulff Road and Baillou Road
   15. Rev. Dr. O. A. Pratt Educational Building,

St. John’s Native Baptist Church

 

Augusta and Meeting Streets

   16. Samuel and Cornella Williams Community Centre,

The Salvation Army

 

Meadow Street

   17. Southwest Cathedral Church of God Carmichael Road
   18. The Anglican Church of the Epiphany Prince Charles Drive
   19. The Salvation Army Mackey Street

 RAGGED ISLAND

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
         1. Holy Innocents Anglican Church Duncan Town

 SAN SALVADOR AND RUM CAY

NO. NAME OF SHELTER ADDRESS
       1. Fellowship in Christ Kingdom Ministry Cockburn Town
       2. Grace Research Center United Estates Settlement
       3. Idell Jones Community Hall, St. Augustine Church Hall Cockburn  Town
       4.              St. Christopher Anglican Church Port Nelson, Rum Cay
       5. St. James Native Baptist Church North Victoria Hill
       6. St. John’s Native Baptist Church United Estates

@ 9 May, 2022 DOSS, Disaster Management Unit

 PLEASE NOT THAT THIS LIST IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE; IF NECESSARY

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