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Hurricane Measurement Scale, Are we getting it right?

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By Dana Malcolm 

Staff Writer 

 

 

May 5, 2023 – ‘A Category 5 is on the way.’ It’s a statement that would cause immediate concern in even the youngest of residents in the Atlantic Basin; so ingrained is the Saffir-Simpson scale in our understanding of hurricanes, but some say with the effects of climate change at our door it’s time for a change.

The Saffir-Simpson scale is the internationally accepted method of grading the intensity/strength of hurricanes created in 1973. The scale uses wind speed to grade the strength of hurricanes, a classification some say is outdated because it excludes other deadly factors and characteristics of horrible storms.

The only change that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), has made in over a decade is a slight change in the wind speed of categories three, four, and five to remedy mix-ups when converting the wind speeds to miles or kilometres per hour.

Citing storm surges (which cause flooding and drowning deaths), rain, the discrepancy between hurricane wind speed at sea and on land, the sea level pressure of storms and other factors, scientists say it’s time to upgrade the way we think about the storms and their intensity.

Phil Klotzbach, Meteorologist at Colorado State University in his research on storms in the US says, pressure is more skillful than wind at predicting normalised hurricane damage and intensity while simultaneously being easier to measure.

Pressure is partially responsible for storm surge.

Rain and Storm surge are important factors for low lying island nations, especially those bisected by water like the Turks and Caicos and The Bahamas.  A high enough storm surge or enough flooding can be deadly, cutting off evacuation routes before storms and emergency personnel after; trapping people in their homes or pulling them out to sea.

NOAA lists storm surge as the factor that causes the most deaths in hurricanes, but the Saffir-Simpson Scale does not currently measure this.

In 2018, two writers for Yale School of the Environment Rob Young and Katie Mcdowell Peek agreed that wind alone was not enough to focus on as a predictor of hurricane strength. They cite hurricanes Florence (cat 1), Katrina (cat 3), and Harvey (cat 4), and Tropical Storm Sandy, devastating storms in the US with high death tolls driven not by wind but by the dozens of inches of rainfall and massive storm surges they brought.

“All of these storms have one thing in common: The hazards they unleashed were not adequately described by the traditional hurricane classification system,” they argue.

These researchers outright call for the Saffir-Simpson Scale to be done away with and a new system created.

This is not to say that wind has no bearing on a hurricane’s ferocity or that it is to be overlooked; rather the researchers say it should take a backseat to other risk factors. Under Klotzbach’s system pressure would be the defining factor for categorising hurricanes rather than wind speed.

“The real danger from all of these systems is water, not wind— water can completely reconfigure a barrier island shoreline by opening new inlets, knocking down dunes, and pushing entire islands landward. The impact of wind can’t compare,” Young and Peak argue.

It is especially important to consider and broadcast this information when talking about hurricanes, they say, as ocean temperatures rise, ice caps melt and sea levels get higher.

Bahamas News

Diamond Stubbs, 17 • Betrica Brown, 19 • Stania Webb, 19 • Fourth victim yet to be identified

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Deandrea Hamilton | Editor

Six road deaths in two days leave a nation searching for answers

NASSAU, The Bahamas – A nation that only days ago celebrated graduations, scholarships and bright futures is now united in grief as six lives were lost on Bahamian roads in just two days, including four young women whose deaths have shaken the country to its core.

The names Diamond Stubbs, 17; Betrica Brown, 19; and Stania Webb, 19 have become the heartbreaking symbol of one of the country’s deadliest road tragedies in recent memory. A fourth young woman, believed to be 18 years old, had not been publicly identified by authorities up to publication time, as families continued to mourn and await official confirmation.

The four were among eight occupants travelling in a gray Mazda when it crashed into a tree on Shirley Street shortly after 1 a.m. Sunday. Police said the 19-year-old driver reportedly struck a pothole, looked back toward his passengers and lost control before the vehicle slammed into the tree. Three young women died at the scene, while a fourth later succumbed to her injuries in hospital. Four others, including the driver, remain hospitalized as investigations continue.

The tragedy’s impact reached the House of Assembly on Monday, where Members observed a moment of silence – led by Prime Minister Philip Davis – in honour of the young women whose lives were cut tragically short.

What has resonated most across the country is not simply how they died, but who they were.

Diamond Stubbs had just graduated from Old Bight High School in Cat Island as valedictorian and head girl. She was preparing to attend Langston University in Oklahoma on scholarship and was remembered by her father as an exceptional student who earned virtually every academic award presented at graduation while inspiring other young people to pursue their dreams.

Betrica Brown, who called both Cat Island and Abaco her homes, had recently travelled to Nassau to secure her student visa. Youth and Sports Minister Mario Bowleg said she was preparing to begin college on a volleyball scholarship.

Stania Webb had already distinguished herself at Langston University, where she earned both President’s List and Honour Roll recognition after graduating from Old Bight High School at just 16 years old. Family members remembered her as a quiet, ambitious young woman deeply committed to her Christian faith and education.

Speaking in Parliament, Prime Minister Philip Davis described the loss as heartbreaking, extending condolences to the families, classmates and loved ones whose lives have been forever changed. He urged Bahamians to keep those still hospitalized and the grieving families in their prayers. Similar expressions of sympathy came from across the political divide, churches, schools and communities throughout the country.

Some residents were also chided for sharing gruesome and graphic photos and video in the hours following the shocking car crash.  Relatives said it made a difficult, heartbreaking time more unbearable.

Condolences poured in from government and Christian ministers; The Bahamas Union of Teachers; The Bahamas Christian council and other leaders from across the islands.

The national tragedy extended beyond New Providence. Also on Sunday, 26-year-old Nica Julien lost her life in a separate traffic collision in Grand Bahama. Then, on Monday, a road traffic accident claimed the life of a 30-year-old man on the highway of Abaco.

Together, the six deaths have transformed what should have been a season of celebration with graduations and independence festivities in play, into one of national mourning, leaving families, communities and an entire country searching for answers—and praying that no more names are added to the list.

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Bahamas News

Twist of Timing Shifts Focus in Jonathan Gardiner Case

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The Bahamas, June 26, 2026 – Imagine boarding a plane for another Bahamian island, only for it to crash in U.S. waters during what now appears to have been a remarkable twist of timing.

Jonathan Gardiner’s Election Day flight has dominated headlines for weeks, but Thursday’s decision by a New York federal judge suggests the story may be far bigger than the crash itself.

Gardiner was denied bail after U.S. District Judge Gregory Woods described him as a danger to the community, a significant flight risk and concluded that the government’s evidence is “very strong.”

For many Bahamians, however, the public narrative has remained fixed on the approximately $30,000 recovered after the crash, including an envelope reportedly containing $5,000 intended for an unnamed politician.

Gardiner’s attorneys have argued the cash was legitimate, saying roughly $20,000 had been withdrawn from his business account the day before the flight. They also maintain the prosecution’s case is circumstantial and have argued that his speedy trial rights are being violated.

But prosecutors say the charges stem from a three-year federal investigation into an alleged conspiracy to import cocaine into the United States—not an investigation that began because a plane crashed in Bahamian waters.

That distinction may prove critical.

The crash brought the case into public view, but it may not be what ultimately determines its outcome.

The judge’s ruling raises a question that now deserves greater attention: What evidence from that three-year investigation persuaded a federal judge that the government’s case is “very strong”?

The answer may not lie in the cash recovered after the crash, but in investigative material that has yet to be fully presented in open court.

As the case moves toward trial, Magnetic Media will continue looking beyond the headlines and following the evidence that underpins one of the most closely watched criminal prosecutions involving a Bahamian in recent years.

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Bahamas News

He’s Not Dusting Off Yesterday’s Plan… He’s Trying to Rebuild Government  

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By Deandrea Hamilton | Magnetic Media

 

The Bahamas, June 26, 2026 – Just in case you thought Sebastian Bastian, The Bahamas’ first Minister of Innovation and National Development, was about to dust off Vision 2040 and carry on where others left off… think again.

In his maiden Budget Communication on Monday, June 15, Bastian unveiled what amounts to a blueprint to rebuild how the government works.

Not with another glossy vision document.

But with an execution machine.

The clearest indication came when the Minister acknowledged that while Vision 2040 was an important national achievement, it also exposed a weakness.

“So we are changing what we are building. The National Development Plan will no longer be a document we complete and set aside. It will be a living instrument — continuously reviewed, always current, resourced by full-time professionals, and grounded in real data — that shapes how this government, and every government after it, chooses its priorities. A plan is a document. What we are building is an institution.”

It is a remarkable shift in philosophy.

Instead of governments producing national plans every decade, Bastian wants professionals monitoring implementation in real time, measuring progress and ensuring administrations stay focused on delivering what they promised.

To Bastian, national development goes far beyond the roads, airports and buildings Bahamians can see. It also means creating the invisible infrastructure of government — smarter systems, better planning, reliable data, accountability and institutions that survive changes in political administrations.

His speech repeatedly returned to one central idea: government itself has become an obstacle to opportunity.

He described a Family Island entrepreneur waiting weeks or even months for approvals because government systems do not communicate with one another. He spoke of public servants trapped by outdated manual processes instead of serving people. And he highlighted an 18-year-old entering a workforce being reshaped by artificial intelligence before graduation.

As he explained:

“…our job is a practical one: to make government work better, to make The Bahamas easier to do business in, and to make sure our country and our people are ready for what comes next.”

For ordinary Bahamians, he said the objective is simple.

“…a government that is simpler, faster, and far easier to deal with… dealing with your government will get easier, year after year, by design.”

His ministry’s four pillars are ambitious: modernizing government, preparing the nation for artificial intelligence, developing Bahamian talent and driving long-term national development.

Among the initiatives announced were a National Artificial Intelligence Authority, the country’s first AI legislation, a National Digital ID, SmartGov productivity tools for public officers, connected government systems, a National AI Literacy Initiative, an independent National Planning and Development Institute and a Delivery Division dedicated to turning plans into action.

The speech stopped short in one important area.

While Minister Bastian thoroughly explained how government intends to transform itself, he did not establish the measurable targets by which Bahamians can judge whether that transformation is succeeding.

However, he did reveal the next milestone.

Beginning in August, the National Development Plan Secretariat will begin assessing the planning capacity of every ministry and department while establishing a national tracking system before the renewed development plan moves into execution.

With 23 ministries and offices in the Davis administration, Bahamians now have a timeline.

It would not be unreasonable for the public to expect Minister Bastian to return once that assessment is complete with the findings, benchmarks and measurable goals that define success.

After all, the Minister’s own philosophy leaves little room for anything less.

“Delivery does not happen by good intentions — it happens when you build the institutions to carry it: capacity for research and policy thinking; teams dedicated to implementation; structures that demand accountability; systems that measure progress; and continuity that outlives any election cycle.”

If this speech is any indication, Minister Sebastian Bastian is not asking Bahamians to judge him by promises.He is asking to be judged by performance.

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