#AtlanticBasin – July 30, 2020 – Tropical Depression number nine, forecast to become the earliest ‘I’ named storm in history has finally earned that name: Isaias. In the wee hours of Thursday morning, TD#9 evolved from a tropical depression to a Tropical Storm with wind gusts up to 60 mph.
The National Hurricane Center, at 2 a.m. informed that Puerto Rico should expect strong rain bands from the tropical storm which has triggered storm watches and warnings for at least 10 Caribbean region countries.
Tropical Storm Isaias slowed from racing across the region at nearly 30 mph to now pacing at 21 mph in a north-westerly direction. Hispaniola, home to Haiti and the Dominican Republic will experience storm conditions this morning and worse, the storm could become a killer.
“Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, northern Haiti, and over the southeastern Bahamas.”
The Turks and Caicos Islands, which has been on Tropical Storm Watch since Wednesday at 12 a.m. has announced a national lockdown by noon Thursday and shelters are due to open at 4pm.
The southeastern Bahamas will experience conditions on Thursday afternoon and the central Bahama islands are predicted to shoulder powerful 60 mph wind conditions throughout the day on Friday.
“Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Central Bahamas beginning Friday morning and are possible in the northwestern Bahamas beginning late Friday.”
The National Hurricane Center advisory informs that British Virgin Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, northern Haiti, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos and eastern Cuba will receive between three and six inches of rain.
Even higher rainfalls are forecast for The Bahamas; from four to eight inches. Life threatening surf and rip currents are expected from today due to approaching Tropical Storm Isaias.
“Swells generated by Isaias will be affecting portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through today. These swells are forecast to reach the north coast of the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas this morning.”
The National Hurricane Center, in the latest advisory informs:
The Tropical Storm Warning for St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, St.
Maarten, Saba and St. Eustatius has been discontinued.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence, Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and Bimini
Interests in Cuba and the Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
The Atlantic Basin
Tropical Storm Philippe
…PHILIPPE BARELY MOVING……EXPECTED TO DRIFT AROUND EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDSTHROUGH THE WEEKEND…
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 55.3 West. Philippe is moving very slowly toward the west-southwest near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday night. A gradual turn toward the west and northwest is forecast Sunday and Sunday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF: Swells generated by Philippe will affect portions of the Atlantic coasts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Rina
…RINA MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD… WATCHES AND WARNINGS——————–There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK———————-At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 47.0 West. Rina is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).
A northwestward to west-northwestward motion, with an increase in forward speed, is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening through early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND———————-None.
Weather Watchers with Close Eye on Tropical Storm Philippe
September 26, 2023 – NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6:00 PM TUESDAY 26TH, SEPTEMBER 2023
…PHILIPPE REMAINS DISORGANIZED …
AT 5:00 PM AST, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1° NORTH AND LONGITUDE 51.3° WEST OR ABOUT 780 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
PREPARED BY FORECASTER: P.W.
From the Turks & Caicos Department of Meteorology:
Synopsis: At 11 AM AST, the center of Tropical Storm Phillipe was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 50.3 West, or about 1387 miles east-southeast of Grand Turk, Turks and Caicos Islands. Philippe is moving toward the west near 14 mph. A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. Phillipe continues to struggle under strong shear which is not expected to let up over the next several days. This could potentially lead to a weaker system drifting westward towards the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Potential Impacts: Too early to know the level impacts Phillipe might have on the Turks and Caicos Islands as this is dependent on its track and intensity.
The Turks and Caicos Islands National Weather Service will continue to closely monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Phillipe. Stay tuned to updates coming out of the National Weather Service, twitter.com/tcinws and facebook.com/tcinws. Also, stay tuned to DDME social media platforms and the DDME Alert App for updates.
Experts Warn, ‘Do Not Drop Your Guard’ as Hurricane Lee Weakens and Turns
September 11, 2023 – Hurricane Lee has turned slightly from the original forecast path revealed last week, pushing it further away from The Caribbean and southeastern US and decreasing the possibility of landfall.
In addition to that welcome news shared by meteorologists on Sunday, wind shear across the Atlantic Ocean has slowed Hurricane Lee down and pushed it from a Category 5 to a Category 2 hurricane but they are warning residents not to let their guard down. After strengthening from Category one to five in under 24 hours last Thursday. The twelfth named system, despite recording a drop in intensity, is expected to strengthen again in the next couple of days.
The system is forecast to pass near to the Northern Caribbean on Monday and adverse effects were already being reported by Sunday including very rough seas.
“Lee’s core is expected to pass well north of the Northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next couple of days,” the National Hurricane Center explained.
Because of its proximity, dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents are already affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, The Bahamas, and Bermuda.
The NHC says it is too soon to tell what effects Lee could have on the countries nearest to it as the hurricane is forecast to slow down later this week.
The Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies (DDME) in the Turks and Caicos is warning that locals should continue to monitor Hurricane Lee’s progress as the country will be negatively impacted in the coming week.
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