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2018 Hurricane Season Forecast to Be an Above Average Hurricane Season

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#TurksandCaicos, April 11, 2018 – Providenciales – The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from 1st June to 30th November 2018.  With the season less than two (2) months away, the Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies, reminds residents to begin to take the necessary preparedness measures early to ensure that their homes, businesses and families remains in a state of readiness.  The 2017 Hurricane Season – with the passage of Harvey, Irma and Maria – reminds us how devastating and destructive storms can be and how important it is to be prepared.

According to the latest preliminary predictions, by hurricane researchers at the Colorado State University (CSU) on Thursday 5th April, 2018, the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be slightly above-average this year.  The experts have cited a “relatively low likelihood of significant El Niño” conditions as a main contributing factor.

In total, the CSU team predicts there will be fourteen (14) named storms; seven (7) predicated to become hurricanes and three (3) predicted to reach major hurricane strength (Category 3 or above). 

 They explained that the development of El Nino patterns are likely to make a difference this season.  Meteorologists Philip Klotz Bach and Michael Bell at CSU said, “El Niño tends to increase upper-level westerly winds across the Caribbean into the tropical Atlantic, tearing apart hurricanes as they try to form.”

 As a result, CSU hurricane researchers believe this season’s activity will be approximately 135 percent of the average season.  Last year’s hurricane activity – which included major storms such as Harvey, Irma and Maria – was two and a half times greater than average.  To develop hurricane forecasts, CSU used 60 years of data; referencing sea surface temperatures, vertical wind shear levels, sea level pressures, El Niño conditions and other factors.

While the CSU team said their predictions provide “a best estimate” of what to expect, coastal residents should take precautions to protect themselves.

Lookout for further updates from CSU on 31st May, 2nd July and 2nd August 2018.

2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm/Hurricane Names

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alberto                Leslie

Beryl                     Michael

Chris                      Nadine

Debby                   Oscar

Ernesto                Patty

Florence              Rafael

Gordon                Sara

Helena                 Tony

Isaac                      Valerie

Joyce                     William

Kirk

What is El Niño and La Niña?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of what is known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. The ENSO cycle is a scientific term that describes the fluctuations in temperature between the ocean and atmosphere in the east-central Equatorial Pacific (approximately between the International Date Line and 120 degrees West).

 

La Niña is sometimes referred to as the cold phase of ENSO and El Niño as the warm phase of ENSO. These deviations from normal surface temperatures can have large-scale impacts not only on ocean processes, but also on global weather and climate.

 

El Niño and La Niña episodes typically last nine (9) to twelve (12) months, however some prolonged events may last for years. While their frequency can be quite irregular, El Niño and La Niña events occur on average every two (2) to seven (7) years. Typically, El Niño occurs more frequently than La Niña.

 

Release: TCIG

 

 

 

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CARICOM Presses for Peace as Hormuz Conflict Drives Up Caribbean Costs 

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May 22, 2026 – The Caribbean Community is warning that the escalating conflict surrounding the Strait of Hormuz is now directly threatening Caribbean economies, driving up the cost of fuel, food and freight across a region heavily dependent on imports.

In a statement issued this week, CARICOM expressed “serious concern” over the worsening hostilities in the Middle East and the growing instability affecting one of the world’s most critical shipping corridors.

CARICOM said it is alarmed by: “the severe loss of life, threats to civil infrastructure, and the instability in global markets” resulting from the conflict.

The regional bloc warned that disruption in maritime transit through the Strait of Hormuz is reverberating across the global economy through: “energy markets, supply chains and increased freight costs.”

For Caribbean citizens, those consequences are already becoming painfully visible.

In Nassau, gasoline prices have surged again, with regular fuel now nearing or exceeding seven dollars per gallon at some stations. Consumers in other CARICOM countries are also reporting higher transportation costs, rising grocery bills and mounting pressure on household budgets.

The fear among regional leaders is that the crisis is far from over.

Roughly 20 percent of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes through the Strait of Hormuz, making it one of the most strategically important waterways in global trade. Analysts warn prolonged disruption could trigger even higher global inflation and deeper supply chain instability.

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization has now warned that the crisis could become a: “systemic agrifood shock” capable of triggering a severe global food price crisis within six to twelve months.

The Caribbean is especially vulnerable because of its dependence on imported fuel, imported food and imported manufactured goods.

A recent UN regional analysis warned that shockwaves from the Middle East conflict are already reaching Caribbean nations, where rising oil prices and freight costs are increasing the price of imported food, electricity and transportation.

Global institutions are also sounding increasingly dire warnings.

The World Bank projects energy prices could surge by 24 percent this year because of the conflict, while fertilizer prices may jump by more than 30 percent — increases likely to feed directly into higher food costs worldwide.

The International Monetary Fund has meanwhile warned the global economy could face a “much worse outcome” if the conflict drags into 2027 and oil prices continue climbing.

CARICOM is now calling for all parties to respect international law and preserve safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.

The Community stressed that transit passage:  “should not be contingent on any license, levy, or authorization,” and warned that bordering states should not “hamper or suspend” the movement of vessels through the corridor.

CARICOM also called for:  “cessation of hostilities” and urged “de-escalation and restraint by all parties.”

But for many Caribbean citizens, the economic pain is already here.

And with fuel nearing seven dollars per gallon in parts of The Bahamas, regional governments are facing renewed pressure over cost of living concerns, inflation and the Caribbean’s continued dependence on imported energy and food supplies.

Angle by Deandrea Hamilton. Built with ChatGPT (AI). Magnetic Media — CAPTURING LIFE.

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Browne Wins Fourth Term in Antigua & Barbuda Landslide

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Antigua & Barbuda, May 4, 2026 – Prime Minister Gaston Browne has secured a historic fourth consecutive term in office, leading the Antigua and Barbuda Labour Party to a commanding victory in the country’s snap general election held April 30, 2026.

Preliminary results show Browne’s party capturing 15 of the 17 seats in Parliament, tightening its grip on power and dramatically weakening the opposition.

The main opposition United Progressive Party was reduced to just one seat, held by its leader, while the Barbuda People’s Movement retained its single constituency in Barbuda.

The result marks a major political turnaround for Browne, whose party had won a much narrower 9–7 majority in the 2023 election before rebuilding support through defections and by-elections.

Voter turnout figures vary in early reports, with initial estimates indicating participation of around 35.8 percent, or roughly 22,700 voters out of more than 63,000 registered. However, broader election data suggests overall turnout may have exceeded 60 percent, reflecting steady engagement despite political tensions.

The election, called nearly two years ahead of schedule, was shaped by concerns over the cost of living, global economic pressures and fallout from U.S. visa restrictions linked to the country’s citizenship-by-investment programme.

Despite those issues, Browne campaigned on economic stability and continued development, pointing to a strong tourism recovery and ongoing infrastructure expansion.

The decisive victory now strengthens his mandate, but also raises questions about the future of the opposition, which faces internal challenges after significant losses at the polls.

Angle by Deandrea Hamilton. Built with ChatGPT (AI). Magnetic Media — CAPTURING LIFE.

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FIGHT FOR CONTROL OF STEWART TOURISM EMPIRE PLAYS OUT IN COURTS

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May 4, 2026 – This is not just a family dispute.  It is a fight over control of a tourism empire.

At the centre is Adam Stewart, who has secured a series of legal victories across the region as challenges continue over the estate and leadership structure of Sandals Resorts International.

The multi-billion-dollar conglomerate was built by the late Gordon “Butch” Stewart, whose passing in 2021 set off a complex and ongoing dispute involving family members, estate arrangements and control of the business.

In recent rulings, courts in both The Bahamas and Jamaica have reinforced Adam Stewart’s position, effectively allowing him to continue leading the company while defending his role against legal challenges.

One key issue has centred on the interpretation of estate provisions, including whether defending his leadership could jeopardise his inheritance. The courts have ruled in his favour, clearing the way for him to maintain control without penalty.

For now, those decisions bring a measure of stability to one of the Caribbean’s most influential tourism brands.

But the matter is far from settled.

Multiple legal challenges and competing claims within the Stewart family remain active, meaning the future structure of the company is still being contested.

The implications stretch well beyond the courtroom.

Sandals operates across several Caribbean nations, including The Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Jamaica and Saint Lucia, making it a critical player in regional tourism, employment and investment.

Any uncertainty at the top of the organisation has the potential to ripple across economies that rely heavily on the brand’s continued expansion and stability.

For now, Adam Stewart remains firmly in charge.  He was named Executive Chairman of Sandals Resorts International in 2021.

Still, many are keen on the outcomes of ongoing litigation, as the battle over one of the Caribbean’s most powerful business empires is still unfolding.

Angle by Deandrea Hamilton. Built with ChatGPT (AI). Magnetic Media — CAPTURING LIFE.

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