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BOJ Anticipates Minimal Price Disruptions from US Tariffs

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Kingston, Jamaica, May 21, 2025 – The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) projects that the initial impact of rising US tariffs on prices in Jamaica will be minimal.

“In assessing the near-term outlook, the Monetary Policy Committee contemplated the implications for the Jamaican economy of the policies that have been implemented by the US administration, to date, and in so doing looked at several scenarios. From this exercise, the Bank’s view is that the first-round impact of the increase in US tariffs on prices in Jamaica will not be significant,” BOJ Governor, Richard Byles, said.

He was addressing the Quarterly Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Jamaica Conference Centre in downtown Kingston on Wednesday (May 21).

The Governor noted that, in the US, these policies are likely to cause a temporary rise in inflation.

“We expect that the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) will respond appropriately, and we also anticipate a slowing of the pace of US economic growth. We note that the Fed maintained its interest rate target in the range of 4.25 to 4.50 per cent in the May 2025 meeting and is likely to continue to maintain rates for an extended period of time in 2025,” he said.

Mr. Byles pointed out, however, that while some consumer prices in Jamaica may rise due to higher inflation in the US, the impact of imported inflation on overall domestic price level increases will be largely offset by declining global oil prices.

“Given the available information, the Bank, therefore projects, a moderate impact of the US policy changes on prices in Jamaica. In this context, the outlook is for inflation to remain within the Bank’s target range of four to six per cent over the next two years, notwithstanding some upside risk. This outlook assumes stable inflation expectations, a moderate decline in crude oil prices, continued stability in the exchange rate and moderate domestic demand,” the Governor added.

Mr. Byles pointed out that the risks to the inflation forecast are, however, skewed to the upside, which means the out-turn could be higher than projected.

“Higher inflation could stem from a sharper-than-anticipated increase in the tariff faced by trading partners of the US. In addition, domestic inflation could be higher than projected if there is a further escalation in geopolitical tensions, which could negatively impact international supply chains. Lower inflation could, however, result from lower-than-projected international commodity prices as well as weaker demand conditions,” he explained.                                                                                                                                                                                                               Consequently, the Governor said the MPC will continue to closely monitor domestic inflation expectations and any upward pressure on prices resulting from the evolving tariff landscape.                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mr. Byles added that the Bank is prepared to adjust its monetary policy stance if its outlook does not materialise and inflation deviates upwards from the Bank’s target range.

“Importantly, the Bank is well positioned to support stability in the foreign exchange market, should the effects of the policy changes abroad affect foreign exchange flows by more than currently anticipated,” he stated.

The Governor said the BOJ remains committed to achieving its primary mandate of maintaining inflation at four to six per cent and will deploy the tools necessary to preserve price and foreign exchange market stability.

Meanwhile, Mr. Byles said US policy changes may have some impact on Jamaica’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth and the external accounts, to the extent that tourism and goods exports as well as remittances are affected.

“Some of Jamaica’s exports will be exempt from the baseline tariff imposed on Jamaica by the US, and this may augur well for growth in those industries. The economy is, therefore, projected to grow moderately over the near term.

“Against this background, and factoring domestic demand conditions, for fiscal year 2025/26, real GDP is projected to recover in the range of one to three per cent, largely reflecting normalisation in the mining, tourism and construction sectors. In this context, employment levels are projected to remain high, even as anecdotal data suggest that wage pressures are moderating,” he said.

Meanwhile, the Governor indicated that Jamaica’s current account balance is expected to remain in surplus in the near term, with international reserves projected to remain healthy.

“The Bank projects that gross reserves will improve further over the medium- term, remaining above the Assessing Reserve Adequacy (ARA) 100 per cent,” he said.

Mr. Byles pointed out that “the external environment carries much uncertainty, but the domestic macroeconomic outlook remains stable in the Bank’s view”.

 

CONTACT: CHRIS PATTERSON

Release: JIS

Caribbean News

Liberty Caribbean Supports Regional Forum on AI, Cyber Resilience and Digital Inclusion  

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Port of Spain, TRINIDAD & TOBAGO (February 24, 2026) — Liberty Caribbean, the operators of Flow, Liberty Business and BTC, recently served as Gold-Level Partner of the two-day Trinidad and Tobago Internet Governance Forum (TTIGF), themed “The Innovation Paradox – Balancing Progress with Responsibility and Resilience”.

The Digital Divide is of particular interest to Liberty Caribbean and is being addressed through its Charitable Foundation across the region. Low broadband penetration in the Caribbean contributes to diminished opportunities for individuals, communities, and local economies, but with the support of funding partners, this gap can be addressed through a comprehensive programme – JUMP – that focuses on providing access, devices, and digital skills.

“Liberty Caribbean was proud to serve as Gold-Level Partner of the TTIGF because the conversations taking place here shape key digital policies for multiple stakeholders,” said Simone Martin-Sulgan, Vice President and General Manager, Flow Trinidad.

“As technology accelerates at an unprecedented pace, we must ensure that innovation strengthens our societies rather than fragments them. The theme, ‘The Innovation Paradox – Balancing Progress with Responsibility and Resilience,’ speaks directly to the work we do every day: building networks that are not only fast and reliable, but secure, inclusive and future-ready.”

Across the Caribbean, the digital divide remains one of the most pressing barriers to equitable growth. Low broadband penetration limits access to education, entrepreneurship and essential services, and that is why we are deeply committed to closing this gap.

Through the Liberty Caribbean Charitable Foundation and initiatives like the JUMP Programme, the company is expanding access to technology, affordable connectivity and digital skills training so that individuals and communities are empowered to participate fully in the digital economy.

Martin-Sulgan further stated “at Liberty Caribbean, we believe progress and responsibility must move in lock step. By investing in resilient networks, inclusive programmes and trusted partnerships, we are helping to build a Caribbean that is innovative, secure and prepared for the opportunities ahead.”

Topics covered during the Forum, with over 140 participants, included “Securing Critical Infrastructure”, Integrating AI into Digital Transformation”, “The Digital Divide”, The Human Cost of Innovation – Mental Health and Well-being in the Digital Age’, and AI, Cyber Resilience and Regional Innovation”.

Focused on the underlying mandate of the Conference theme thought leaders, innovators, policymakers, technologists, researchers, and community stakeholders were invited to explore how countries can evolve boldly without compromising values or long-term stability.

Photo Caption: 

TTIGF – l-r Darren Campo, Regulatory & Compliance Officer; Yolande Agard-Simmons, Senior Manager Communications; and Kevon Swift, Senior Manager Government and Regulatory Affairs of Flow Trinidad in attendance at the Post Event Mixer at Caribbean Telecommunications Union’s Head Office in St Clair, Port of Spain

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Mottley Sworn in After Historic Clean Sweep in Barbados Election

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Barbados, February 12, 2026 – Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley was this afternoon officially sworn in for a third consecutive term, hours after delivering one of the most emphatic election victories in Caribbean political history — another complete capture of all 30 seats in Barbados’ House of Assembly.

The ceremony, conducted by President His Excellency Lt. Col. The Most Honourable Jeffrey Bostic, marked the formal start of a new administration following the February 11, 2026 general election, which returned the Barbados Labour Party (BLP) to power with a renewed and overwhelming mandate.

In a statement after taking the oath, Mottley said she accepted the responsibility “with humility and resolve,” thanking the people of Barbados for placing their trust in her leadership once again and urging national unity as her government begins its new term. Attorney Wilfred Abrahams was also sworn in as Attorney General.

The result is historic not only for its scale but for its consistency. This is the third straight general election in which the BLP has won every constituency, reinforcing Mottley’s dominance in national politics and extending an unmatched era of one-party control in the modern democratic period.

Voting day unfolded under the watch of a CARICOM Election Observation Mission, led by Antigua and Barbuda’s Supervisor of Elections Ian Hughes and supported by senior electoral officials from Belize and Jamaica. The team engaged key institutions ahead of the poll and monitored the process across the island.

Regional leaders were swift in their congratulations.

Guyana’s President Irfaan Ali described the outcome as “emphatic and historic,” saying the clean sweep reflected how deeply Mottley’s leadership has connected with Barbadians and expressing optimism about strengthening ties between the two countries.

Jamaica’s Prime Minister Andrew Holness also hailed the victory, noting that her re-election provides an opportunity to deepen cooperation within CARICOM and advance shared regional priorities.

The scale of the win again leaves Barbados without a parliamentary opposition, a reality that has become a defining feature of the political landscape since 2018. Supporters argue the repeated mandate reflects public confidence in Mottley’s stewardship of economic reform, climate diplomacy, the transition to a republic, and Barbados’ expanding global influence.

Now, newly sworn in and backed by another unanimous parliamentary majority, Mottley begins a third term with both extraordinary political capital and equally high expectations at home and across the region.

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Liberty Caribbean Committed to ‘Elevating Region’ at CANTO  

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Simone Martin-Sulgan, Vice President and General Manager, Flow Trinidad & Tobago

Liberty Caribbean is Diamond Sponsor of CANTO Connect 2026 and 42nd AGM

 

Port of Spain, TRININDAD & TOBAGO (February 1, 2026) — Liberty Caribbean, the operators of Flow. Liberty Business and BTC, has reaffirmed its commitment to turning regional connectivity into measurable economic and social outcomes as Diamond Sponsor of CANTO Connect 2026 and its 42nd Annual General Meeting.

CANTO is the leading regional body that brings together telecommunications operators, ICT providers, regulators, governments, and industry partners to support the development of the Caribbean’s digital and communications landscape.

Simone Martin-Sulgan, Vice President and General Manager, Flow Trinidad & Tobago delivered the sponsor’s address on behalf of Liberty Caribbean.

“The work of laying fibre and lighting towers is done; connectivity is now our foundation,” she said.

“The real task before us is to translate that foundation into innovation, productivity and prosperity for our people. Intelligent connectivity, such as networks designed for 5G, AI and IoT, will be the platform for smarter public services, more resilient systems and scaled opportunities for Caribbean entrepreneurs.”

Martin-Sulgan emphasised that infrastructure alone will not deliver sustainable progress.

“Digital progress must become digital prosperity. That means creating career pathways for young people, helping local businesses scale and ensuring citizens across our communities can fully participate in the digital economy. A connected Caribbean should also be a confident, creative and globally competitive Caribbean,” she said.

Liberty Caribbean is represented by a senior delegation at CANTO Connect to support the conference objectives of aligning policy, investment and execution across the region under this year’s theme ‘Elevate the Caribbean – From Connectivity to Global Competitiveness’.

Liberty Caribbean’s delegation includes Inge Smidts, Chief Executive Officer; Desron Bynoe, VP and General Manager, Flow Barbados; Susanna O’Sullivan, VP and General Manager, North Caribbean; Marilyn Sealy, Senior Director, Head of Communications; Dominic Boon, VP, People; Daniel Neiva, Chief Commercial Officer, B2B; Bradley Ramcharan, Director, B2B, Trinidad & Tobago; Yolande Headley, Country Manager, Dutch East Caribbean; and Jade Reymond, Country Manager, Flow Anguilla.

Martin-Sulgan thanked CANTO’s local secretariat for convening the forum and urged delegates to convert conversation into action.

“If we align policy, capital and capability, the Caribbean can move from connectivity to competitiveness. Liberty Caribbean will continue to invest in resilient networks, nurture homegrown talent and partner to deliver measurable social and economic value across our markets,” she said.

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