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News Items on Hurricane Florence, Hurricane Helene and Tropical Storm Isaac

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#Miami, FL, September 12, 2018 – USA – THIS IS A NEWS ITEM ON HURRICANE FLORENCE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE AT 6:00 AM WEDNESDAY 12TH SEPTEMBER 2018. …

DANGEROUS FLORENCE HEADING TOWARD THE U.S EAST COAST…EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES.

SURGE AND RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC…

AT 5:00 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 70.1° WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MILES PER HOUR. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN CONSIDERABLY BY LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, AND MOVE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE BAHAMAS TODAY AND APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA OR SOUTH CAROLINA IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 130 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FLORENCE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY, FLORENCE IS FORECAST TO BE AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT NEARS THE U.S. COAST.

 

PREPARED BY DUTY FORECASTER: PATRICIA WEEKS

 

 

THIS IS A NEWS ITEM ON HURRICANE HELENE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE AT 6:00AM WEDNESDAY 12TH SEPTEMBER 2018. …

HELENE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN…

AT 5:00 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 35.7° WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MILES PER HOUR AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND HELENE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY.

 

PREPARED BY DUTY FORECASTER: PATRICIA WEEKS

 

 

THIS IS A NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE AT 6:00 AM WEDNESDAY 12TH SEPTEMBER, 2018. …

ISAAC IS A LITTLE WEAKER AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES…

AT 5AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 53.5° WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF MARTINIQUE.

ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ISAAC’S CENTER IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES AND INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

 

PREPARED BY DUTY FORECASTER: PATRICIA WEEKS

 

 

 

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Bahamas News

Elsa Menaces Caribbean on its Way to South East of the US

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July 6, 2021 – One day after becoming the first hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic season, Elsa weakened back into a tropical storm Saturday as it zeroed in on western Haiti. Conditions in these areas were already deteriorating due to the storm’s strong winds, heavy rain and inundating storm surge.

The storm underwent rapid intensification one day earlier, becoming a hurricane early Friday morning as it raced toward the Caribbean Islands.

Within 24 hours, Elsa went from tropical-storm strength with 40-mph winds to a Category 1 hurricane with 75-mph winds. By its maximum-sustained winds increasing by at least 35 mph within 24 hours, the storm’s strengthening just met the criteria set by the National Hurricane Center qualifying as “rapid intensification.”

AccWeather forecasters are now keeping a close eye on the tropical system as it is expected to approach the United States after moving through the Caribbean through the weekend.

Elsa was about 175 miles southeast of Montego Bay, Jamaica, packing sustained winds of 65 mph and moving quickly toward the west-northwest at 17 mph at 8 p.m. EDT on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extended out up to 125 miles out from its center. A category 1 hurricane has maximum-sustained winds starting at 74 mph.

The storm weakened on Saturday after peaking in strength on Friday, when its maximum-sustained winds were around 85 mph during the afternoon and evening hours. But the storm has also already been blamed for widespread damage and power outages, including in the islands of Barbados and St. Vincent.

One death was reported in Soufriere, St. Lucia, according to the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency. About 30 per cent of customers on the island were without power on Saturday due to damaged power lines. Two other deaths were reported in the Dominican Republic, according to the director for the Dominican Republic’s center for emergency operations.

Elsa ripped roofs off homes, toppled trees and caused flooding in Barbados before introducing heavy rain and wind in St. Vincent Friday. Many power outages were also blamed on Elsa.

As the storm tore through Barbados, Wilfred A. Abrahams, the island’s Minister of Home Affairs Information and Public Affairs, urged residents of the island nation to shelter in place, adding that folks should only leave their homes if the structures are damaged. Authorities in Haiti urged people to evacuate if they lived near water or mountain flanks.

Elsa is also blamed for two deaths in the Dominican Republic; a 15-year old boy and a 75-year old woman.

As of Saturday, AccuWeather forecasters say Elsa is most likely to enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approach Florida early this week.

Photo by:  Marlon St. Brice

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Bahamas News

No Drama: June 1, New Atlantic Hurricane Season Officially begins

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#TurksandCaicos, June 2, 2021 – Atlantic Hurricane Season began on Tuesday June 1, and thankfully, it was an uneventful start to what is forecast to be an above average season. 

We can only hope that 2021 does not try to out-do its predecessors: 2019 with the worst hurricane in modern history, Hurricane Dorian and 2020 with thirty named systems which completely exhausted the alphabet, spilling into the Greek alphabet. 

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, (NOAA) says it could be between 13 and 20 named systems this go round… six to ten of them could become hurricanes and five of them major hurricanes.  NOAA says it is 70 per cent confident of its forecast which should be less busy than last year. 

In Turks and Caicos, trainings, town meetings, public awareness, shelter inspections, volunteer building and equipment assessments have already happened. 

New in 2021, a TCI Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies (DDME) free, downloadable app. 

With support from the UK Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office, the DDME announced the App – available on Apple and Android devices – will lead in keeping islanders informed throughout the season which officially ends on November 30.

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Bahamas News

First Named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season fizzles

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#TurksandCaicos, May 24, 2021 – On Saturday morning came the first Public Advisory on early, but not unusual Tropical Storm Ana.  Her position about 200 miles northeast of Bermuda, put the tiny UK overseas territory under Tropical Storm watch.  Today, the remnants pose no threat to land.

At 11:00 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ana was located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 55.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 28 mph (44km/h), and a northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Monday.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast overnight, and Ana is expected to dissipate on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). Hurricane season does not officially begin until June 1.  The trend of early named storms is now commonplace; so much so there is chatter about possibly moving the start date of the Season. 

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