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News Update on Tropical Storm Leslie, Hurricane Michael & the formation of a new Tropical Depression (15)

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#Nassau, October 9, 2018 – Bahamas – NEWS ITEM ON HURRICANE MICHAEL ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, TUESDAY 09TH OCTOBER 2018.

 

…MICHAEL MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO…

 

…STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST…

 

AT 5:00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 85.9° WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA OR 390 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

 

MICHAEL IS MOVING TOWARD THENORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.  A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING, THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THE CENTER OF MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OR FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON WEDNESDAY, AND THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED, AND MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LANDFALL IN FLORIDA.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL AS MICHAEL MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.

 

 

 

NEWS ITEM

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION,  TUESDAY 09TH OCTOBER 2018.

 

…LESLIE FORECAST TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC…

 

AT 5;00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 43.9° WEST OR ABOUT 1035 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

 

LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH.  A SLOWER MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, WITH A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST FORECAST ON THURSDAY.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS, AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

 

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: ORSON NIXON

 

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION,  TUESDAY 09TH OCTOBER, 2018.

 

…ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EAST ATLANTIC…NO THREAT TO LAND…

 

AT 6:00 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 29.7° WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS.

 

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THAT GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT.

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: GEOFFREY GREENE

 

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News

California Flooding, but so much of the State in drought

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By Dana Malcolm 

Staff Writer 

 

 

#USA, March 13, 2023 – California residents are facing their tenth atmospheric river in three months and already a river has burst its banks sending 8, 000 scrambling out of their homes to safety. But as the sunny West Coast state floods and floods, 84 percent of it is classified as being under drought conditions.

Extended periods of drought damage microbes in the soil that break down organic matter,  layers of organic matter can then become like a waxy film on top of soil, this can in turn make the solid hydrophobic or water repellent.

The Department of Agriculture and Food in Australia (which deals with drought regularly) says water repellency results in poor water infiltration, variable soil wetting, increased erosion risk and reduced and delayed crop, pasture and weed establishment.

This means among other consequences, instead of seeping into parched earth quickly, the water takes much longer to penetrate,  and heavy rain can induce severe flooding. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says much like a river is water moving over land, an atmospheric river is a stream of water vapor moving in the sky. When that unleashes it can cause flooding. Even more so when the area has been in a months-long drought like California.

In addition between the first nine atmospheric rivers which happened in January and December there has been very little precipitation, the majority of rain coming in these heavy extreme bursts that are often deadly

This isn’t to say the rain hasn’t helped. The atmospheric rivers have pushed the state out of extreme drought into atmospheric and moderate drought stages which are slightly better. So far at least two people have died in the March rains and 20 were killed in January. Currently more that 50,000 people are without power.

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News

Late Winter Storms in the US and Canada

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By Dana Malcolm 

Staff Writer 

 

 

February 24, 2023 – Over a thousand flights have been cancelled; a thousand more delayed and vehicular travel is being labelled ‘unadvisable’ in some parts of the US as a massive late winter storm fueled by arctic front barrels across the West and MidWest of the country.

The National Weather Service is warning of moderate and major impacts to come in the worst-hit areas with dangerous to impossible driving conditions and widespread closures and disruptions to infrastructure.

The storm is expected to last for at least days going into Friday and produce record-breaking low temperatures. Nearly all of the western US will be affected. Snow is expected to pile up very quickly, as much as two inches of the white stuff per hour.

In Canada, Ontario and Toronto have already begun to see below-zero temperatures and light snow which is expected to pick up by Thursday.  The cities are rushing to get warming centres open for those who need them as the temperatures are predicted to get even more biting overnight.

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Caribbean News

Surprise Low Pressure System in Atlantic Basin

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By Dana Malcolm 

Staff Writer 

 

January 20, 2023 – A month and a half after the end of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane season and five and a half months before the 2023 season is scheduled to begin, a new storm system formed and was under watch by the National Hurricane Center.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook was issued around 10:05 am on Monday (January 16) by the US National Hurricane Center to discuss the potential for subtropical development over the northwest Atlantic.

The non-tropical low pressure system was centered in the northwest about 300 miles north of Bermuda and is producing storm-force winds and thunderstorm activity near the center.

The system has been forecast to move into much colder waters across Atlantic Canada by early Tuesday making it is unlikely that it will become a subtropical or tropical cyclone.

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