Dana Malcolm
Staff Writer
We are living in the hottest times ever recorded by mankind, according to new data shared by Copernicus Climate Change Service, (C3S). It’s not just a warmer season, climate records continue to topple like dominoes in a concerning and for many, frightening trend that could have consequences for the Turks and Caicos.
“March 2024 was warmer globally than any previous March in the data record, with an average surface air temperature 10°C above the previous high set in March 2016. This is the tenth month in a row that is the warmest on record for the respective month of the year” the C3S revealed.
To some, that might mean getting a new fan, having AC installed, or spending some extra days at the beach. But in some of the coldest places on earth sheets of ice are melting, contributing to sea level rise, and affecting the Caribbean.
Countries below sea level are most at risk, at the forefront of those calculations is the Turks and Caicos. A November 2023 report cited the TCI, Bahamas, Jamaica, and Cayman, as facing sea level rise by the end of the century. In that report, the UNDP estimates that without shoreline defenses more than 5 percent of the Turks and Caicos Islands will disappear completely below the ocean. This is the prognosis for The Bahamas, BVI, and Cayman as well.
“The displacement of millions of people and the disruption of economic activity in major business hubs could introduce new elements of instability and increase competition for resources,” the UNDP warned.
The continued temperature records aren’t helping.
“Antarctic sea ice extent was 20% below average, the sixth lowest extent for March in the satellite data record,” the Copernicus Service explains, though in some areas there was more ice than we have seen for several years, it’s not enough to stave off the continued melting.
NASA explains that because floating ice is made of fresh water, it increases sea level slightly when it melts into the salty sea, but its melting ice on land like glaciers that fall into the ocean, and the expansion of seawater as it warms, contribute most to sea level rise.
For coastal countries, this means land loss and for islands, it is a major concern. Already global sea level has risen about 8 inches (0.2 meters) since reliable record-keeping began in 1880 according to NASA . In a 2024 report the space agency said by 2100, scientists project that the sea will rise at least another foot (0.3 meters), but possibly as high as 6.6 feet (2 meters)
When Magnetic Media used the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Sea Level Rise Simulator it didn’t show what would happen to the Turks and Caicos or the Bahamas, but it did have data on Florida which lies just an hour off the coast of Freeport, Bahamas. With only 1 foot of water rise, areas like Key West were completely covered.
The UNDP however, says there is hope and urges countries to treat the prediction as a call to action rather than an inevitability, as shoreline defences and climate action have the potential to prevent these changes.