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Update: Hurricane Florence, Tropical Storm Joyce, Tropical Storm Helene & Tropical Depression Isaac

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#Nassau, September 14, 2018 – Bahamas

 

NEWS ITEM ON HURRICANE FLORENCE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6AM FRIDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER 2018.

…FLORENCE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTH CAROLINA…

…CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGES AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS…

…CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA…

AT 5:00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.2°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 77.4° WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA OR 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA.

HURRICANE FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A SLOW FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY AND SATURDAY.  FLORENCE WILL THEN MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE FLORENCE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON.

 

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: ORSON NIXON

 

   

 

NEWS ITEM

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM JOYCE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6AM FRIDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER 2018.

 JOYCE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD BUT EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD BY TONIGHT…

AT 5:00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 44.9° WEST OR ABOUT 1090 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

TROPICAL STORM JOYCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH.   JOYCE IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN EASTWARD BY TONIGHT, AND THEN ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  JOYCE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON.

 

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: ORSON NIXON

 

 

 

NEWS ITEM

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM HELENE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6AM FRIDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER 2018.

…HELENE SPEEDING NORTHWARD…

…EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND…

AT 5:00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 36.0° WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES.

TROPICAL STORM HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT 23 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, HELENE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER HELENE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON.

 

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: ORSON NIXON

14/09/2018 1000UTC.

 

 

 

NEWS ITEM

 

 

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISAAC ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6AM FRIDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER 2018.

…ISAAC WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…

…BANDS OF RAIN LINGERING OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES…

AT 5:00AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 65.5° WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST. CROIX OR 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 MPH, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISAAC IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE AT ANY TIME.

THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON.

 

PREPARED BY FORECASTER: ORSON NIXON

14/09/2018 1000UTC.

 

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Caribbean News

Seven Days. Seven Nations. One Storm — Hurricane Melissa

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A week of wind, water, and heartbreak

 

From Haiti’s hillsides to Bermuda’s reefs, seven Caribbean nations have been battered, bruised, and forever marked by Hurricane Melissa — a storm that tested not only the region’s infrastructure but its unshakable spirit of unity.

Saturday–Sunday, October 25–26 – The First Strike: Hispaniola

Before the storm even earned its name, torrential rain and flash floods swept across Haiti and the Dominican Republic, claiming lives and tearing through rural communities.

In southern Haiti, rivers burst their banks, swallowing roads and homes; 23 people were confirmed dead by Sunday evening. Across the border, one death was reported in the Dominican Republic as swollen rivers cut off villages in Barahona and Pedernales.

By nightfall, the tropical system had strengthened — and the Caribbean knew it was facing something historic.

Monday, October 27 – Evacuations and Airlifts

In The Bahamas, Prime Minister Philip Davis issued a mandatory evacuation for the MICAL Islands — Mayaguana, Inagua, Crooked Island, Acklins, Long Cay, and Ragged Island.

Bahamasair added extra flights as the nation braced for what forecasters warned could become the strongest storm in nearly two decades.

Meanwhile, Jamaica, Turks & Caicos, and Cuba activated their national emergency operations centers.

Tuesday, October 28 – Jamaica and Haiti Hit Hard

By afternoon, Hurricane Melissa made landfall near St Elizabeth, Jamaica, as a Category 5 hurricane — winds of 185 mph, central pressure 892 mb, the lowest ever recorded so close to the island.

Roads collapsed, bridges washed away, and Black River Hospital lost its roof. Power failed for 72 percent of the island.

BOJ TV footage shows split asphalt, sparking lines, and flooded communities abandoned for safety.

Initially four were reported dead, that grew to seven deaths and heavy damage in 170 communities; Andrew Holness, Jamaican Prime Minister calling it “a national test of resilience.”

Haiti, still recovering from the weekend’s flooding, was hit again as outer bands dumped more rain on Les Cayes and Jacmel, deepening the humanitarian crisis.

Wednesday, October 29 – Crossing to Cuba

Weakened slightly to Category 4 (145 mph), Melissa tracked north-northeast at 8 mph, hammering eastern Cuba with hurricane-force winds

and mudslides. Over 15 000 people were evacuated from Santiago de Cuba and Holguín.

In Turks & Caicos, the Regiment deployed to Grand Turk, Salt Cay, South, North and Middle Caicos, preparing shelters and securing public buildings.

Thursday, October 30 – The Bahamas and the All Clear

Melissa’s speed increased, sparing the northern Caribbean its worst.

The Bahamas Airport Authority closed 13 airports from Mayaguana to Exuma International; none reported casualties, though infrastructure suffered.

In Turks & Caicos, the all-clear came early Thursday after minimal impact.  Premier Washington Misick expressed gratitude and pledged support for neighbors:

“We must act — not only with words, but with compassion and deeds.”

Friday, October 31 – Counting the Cost

By Friday, Melissa had weakened to Category 3 (120 mph) north of Cuba.

The Bahamas Department of Meteorology issued its final alert, lifting warnings for the southern islands.

Regional toll:

  • Haiti: 23 dead, thousands displaced.
  • Jamaica: 7 dead, 170 communities damaged; 72% without electricity
  • Cuba: 2 dead, 15, 000 evacuated.
  • Dominican Republic: 1 dead, flooding in southwest.
  • Bahamas: 0 dead, minor infrastructure damage and flooding in southeast.
  • Turks & Caicos: minimal to no impact.

Relief and Reconnection

The Cayman Islands became the first government to touch down in Jamaica post-storm. Premier Juliana O’Connor-Connolly led a contingent bringing a plane-load of essentials and pledged US $1.2 million in aid.

Reggae icon Shaggy arrived on a private jet with friends, delivering food, medical kits, and hygiene supplies.

Meanwhile, Starlink and FLOW Jamaica activated emergency satellite internet across Jamaica providing free connectivity through November.

From overseas, U.S. President Donald Trump, speaking during his Asia tour, announced that American search-and-rescue teams and disaster aid will support the region.

“They can depend on U.S. assistance as they recover from this historic storm,” he said.

Faith, Funds, and False Websites

The Government of Jamaica and the Sandals Foundation have both launched verified donation portals for recovery. Officials are warning against fake crowdfunding pages posing as relief sites and urging donors to use only official channels.

A Seventh Nation in the Crosshairs – Bermuda

As Hurricane Melissa left the Caribbean basin, Bermuda found itself next in line.

Forecasts indicated the storm would pass just west of the island late Thursday into Friday, likely as a Category 1 to 2 hurricane with sustained winds near 105 mph.

Though far weaker than when it ravaged Jamaica, officials issued a hurricane warning, urging residents to secure property and expect tropical-storm conditions.

By all appearances Bermuda is heeding the warnings

The Human Response

Across the Caribbean, solidarity surged.

The Global Empowerment Mission (GEM) in Miami began airlifting relief supplies, while churches, civic groups, and businesses in The Bahamas and Turks & Caicos organized drives for displaced families.

“Your dedication gave our islands the strength to face the storm,” Premier Misick said. “Together, as one Caribbean family, we will rise stronger.”

Resilience in the Wake

Melissa’s winds may have faded, but her impact endures. Engineers are inspecting bridges, hillsides, and water systems; volunteers are clearing debris and distributing aid in communities still cut off.

From Haiti’s ravaged river valleys to Jamaica’s sugar towns, from Cuba’s eastern hills to The Bahamas’ salt ponds and Bermuda’s reefs, the region once again stands at the crossroads of ruin and renewal — and leans, as always, toward hope and a faithful God

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Haitian Pushback Halts Controversial Constitution Rewrite — What’s Next?

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Deandrea Hamilton | Editor

 

Haitian media, legal scholars and civic voices did what bullets and barricades couldn’t: they stopped a sweeping constitutional overhaul widely branded as anti-democratic.  Editorials and analyses tore into proposals to abolish the Senate, scrap the prime minister, shift to one-round presidential elections, expand presidential power, and open high office to dual-nationals—a package critics said would hard-wire dominance into the executive at a moment of near-lawless insecurity.

The Venice Commission—Europe’s top constitutional advisory body—didn’t mince words either. In a formal opinion requested by Haiti’s provisional electoral authorities, it pressed for clear legal safeguards and credible conditions before any referendum, including measures to prevent gang interference in the electoral process—an implicit rebuke of pushing a foundational rewrite amid a security collapse.

Facing that drumbeat, Haiti’s Transitional Presidential Council has now formally ended the constitutional-reform initiative. The decision, taken at a Council of Ministers meeting at the National Palace, effectively aborts the rewrite track that has haunted Haiti since the Moïse and Henry eras.

So what now? Per the Miami Herald, the pivot is back to basics: security first, elections next. That means stabilizing Port-au-Prince enough to run a vote, rebuilding the electoral timetable, and empowering the provisional electoral machinery—none of which is simple when gangs control vast chunks of the capital and state authority remains fragile. Recent headlines underline the risk: gunfire has disrupted top-level government meetings, a visceral reminder that constitutional theory means little without territorial control.

Bottom line: Haitian journalists and public intellectuals helped slam the brakes on a high-stakes centralization of power that lacked legitimacy and safe conditions. International constitutional experts added weight, and the transition authorities finally conceded reality. Now the fight shifts to making an election possible—clean rolls, secure polling, and credible oversight—under circumstances that are still hostile to democracy. If the state can’t guarantee basic safety, any ballot is theater. If it can, shelving the rewrite may prove the first real step back toward consent of the governed.

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Political Theatre? Caribbean Parliamentarians Walk Out on House Speaker

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By Deandrea Hamilton | Magnetic Media

 

October 14, 2025 – It’s being called political theatre — but for citizens, constitutional watchdogs, and democracy advocates across the Caribbean, it feels far more serious. Within a single week, two national parliaments — in Trinidad and Tobago and St. Kitts and Nevis — descended into turmoil as opposition members stormed out in protest, accusing their Speakers of bias, overreach, and abuse of parliamentary procedure.

For observers, the walkouts signal a deeper problem: erosion of trust in the very institutions meant to safeguard democracy. When Speakers are viewed as political enforcers instead of neutral referees, parliaments stop functioning as chambers of debate and start performing as stages for power and spectacle — with citizens left wondering who, if anyone, is still accountable.

October 6: St. Kitts Parliament Erupts

The first walkout erupted in Basseterre on October 6, 2025, when Dr. Timothy Harris, former Prime Minister and now Opposition Leader, led his team out of the St. Kitts and Nevis National Assembly in a protest that stunned the chamber.

The flashpoint came as the Speaker moved to approve more than three years’ worth of unratified parliamentary minutes in one sitting — covering 27 meetings and three national budgets — without individual review or debate.

Dr. Harris called the move “a flagrant breach of the Constitution and parliamentary tradition,” warning that the practice undermines transparency and accountability. “No serious parliament can go years without approving a single set of minutes,” he said after exiting the chamber.

The Speaker defended the decision as administrative housekeeping, but critics were unconvinced, branding the move a “world record disgrace.” The opposition’s walkout triggered renewed calls for the Speaker’s resignation and sparked a wider public discussion about record-keeping, accountability, and respect for parliamentary norms in St. Kitts and Nevis.

October 10: Trinidad Opposition Follows Suit

Four days later, on October 10, 2025, the Opposition United National Congress (UNC) in Trinidad and Tobago staged its own walkout from the House of Representatives in Port of Spain.

The UNC accused the Speaker of partisan bias, claiming she had repeatedly blocked urgent questions, ignored points of order, and allowed government members to breach standing orders without consequence.

“The Speaker has failed in her duty to act impartially,” the Opposition declared in a statement. “Parliament is not the property of any political party or Presiding Officer.”

The dramatic exit was seen as a culmination of months of rising tension and frustration, with opposition MPs arguing that parliamentary rules were being selectively applied to silence dissenting voices.

Political analyst Dr. Marcia Ferdinand described the twin walkouts as “a warning sign that parliamentary democracy in the Caribbean is teetering on the edge of performative politics.”

“When chairs become political shields rather than constitutional referees,” she said, “democracy becomes theatre, not governance.”

A Pattern Emerging

While St. Kitts and Trinidad are very different political environments, both incidents point to the same regional fault line: the perception that Speakers — the guardians of parliamentary order — are no longer impartial.

In Westminster-style systems like those across the Caribbean, the Speaker’s authority depends not on power but on public confidence in fairness. Once that credibility erodes, parliamentary control collapses into confrontation.

Governance experts say the implications are serious: eroded trust between government and opposition, declining public confidence in state institutions, and growing voter cynicism that “rules” are flexible tools of political advantage.

Why It Matters

Parliamentary walkouts are not new in the Caribbean, but what makes these recent events different is their frequency and intensity — and the regional echo they’ve created. Social media has amplified images of lawmakers storming out, with citizens from Barbados to Belize questioning whether the same erosion of decorum could be happening in their own legislatures.

Analysts warn that if this perception takes hold, it risks diminishing the moral authority of parliamentary democracy itself.

“Once opposition MPs believe the rules are rigged, and once citizens believe Parliament is just performance,” said one Caribbean governance researcher, “you’ve lost the most valuable currency in democracy — trust.”

Restoring Balance

Political reformers across the region are calling for tighter Standing Order enforcement, independent parliamentary service commissions, and training to strengthen Speaker neutrality. Civil society leaders say the public must also play its part by demanding transparency and refusing to normalize partisan manipulation of parliamentary procedure.

Whether these twin walkouts become catalysts for reform — or simply another episode of Caribbean political theatre — will depend on what happens next inside those chambers.

For now, democracy watchers agree on one thing: when opposition leaders feel the only way to be heard is to walk out, the entire democratic house — not just its Speaker — is in danger of collapse.

 

Angle by Deandrea Hamilton. Built with ChatGPT (AI). Magnetic Media — CAPTURING LIFE.

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